The Perfect Storm

by Dru Bloomfield on August 27, 2010

Frequently, lenders email me updates about the current mortgage market.  This week, I got an email from Mike Weldy at Prime Lending.  Titled “The Perfect Storm”, it outlined the following:

  • A “Perfect Storm” of low purchase prices and historic low interest rates
  • Compare this example:
    $250,000 purchase price at 4.5% (which recently closed)
    Versus
    $250,000 purchase price with a 6% rate (possible interest rate in 2011)
  • The projected payment would jump from $1,267 to $1,499! (an increase of over 18% )
  • If you believe house values will fall further, consider this: if you were to purchase this exact home for $225,000 at 5.5% (assuming taxes, insurance, and HOA were the same), your projected monthly payment would still be higher at $1,278!
  • Therefore, from a payment perspective, IF the market dropped an additional 10%, it would still be a lesser monthly payment to pay the higher sales price at the lower interest rate.

I like playing with numbers, so I thought Mike’s scenario was a perfect way to lay out the situation in today’s real estate market.  If you want to talk through your scenario to see if now might be a good time for you to finance a home, call Mike directly.

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