Scottsdale Foreclosures: Selling, or not?

by Dru Bloomfield on November 5, 2008

Bryan Jones over at the Talon Group emailed me the following spreadsheet with bank owned property statistics for many of the major cities that occurred during the month of October. 

City Total Sales REO Sales* % REO Sales* Median Price REO Price*
Buckeye 137 88 64% $120,000 $114,500
Tolleson 73 45 62% $139,900 $130,900
Avondale 156 90 58% $145,450 $135,900
Glendale 294 146 50% $149,000 $120,500
Phoenix 1274 624 49% $128,500 $99,700
Queen Creek 316 144 46% $126,000 $119,950
Surprise 277 126 45% $162,500 $153,250
Goodyear 126 54 43% $165,000 $147,500
Mesa 424 163 38% $157,000 $128,000
Peoria 186 67 36% $217,000 $180,000
Gilbert 289 98 34% $231,000 $191,000
Chandler 240 68 28% $229,250 $179,750
Scottsdale 319 67 21% $388,250 $270,000
Tempe 82 13 16% $223,000 $138,000
         
*REO = Bank owned homes        
           
Disclaimer: Data obtained from the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service (ARMLS). Information deemed accurate, but not guaranteed. Note: information does not include non-MLS private home sales.    

 

I charted the REO sales percentage on a per city basis, and you can see that only one in five October home sales in the Scottsdale and Tempe markets were bank owned properties, as compared to three in five in some other outlying suburbs, such as Buckeye.  

One thing that I find particularly interesting with this data is that appears to be a relationship between the  percentage of REO (bank-owned) properties sold for a given city and the percent difference of the REO price compared to the overall median price.  This makes sense when you think about it.  The more REO’s sold, the more they drive the median price.  On the other hand, it implies that bank owned properties sell at at significantly lower price than non-bank owned properties, and I’m not convinced that this is always the case.

So the next question becomes, are there more homes in foreclosure in the outlying areas that are driving these sales?  To me, the answer is presumably yes, so I visited the Cromford Report to do a quick comparison of Buckeye and Scottsdale.

In the Buckeye market, it appears that somewhere between 25 and 30 percent of the properties on the market are the bank-owned properties. 

In Scottsdale, foreclosures appear to be less than 10% of the available market. 

What you will also notice in comparing Active Listings to Sales in both of these markets is that foreclosures are selling at a high percentage rate than are a part of the active market.  In my mind, the good news is that the foreclosures are selling and that this process is a critical part of balancing the market.  Granted, it may take longer than we like, but it is happening.

{ 1 comment… read it below or add one }

drubloomfield (Dru Bloomfield) 03.15.10 at 1:46 pm

New Post: Scottsdale Foreclosures: Selling, or not? http://is.gd/6rBO

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